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FiveThirtyEight » Politics

The Immigrant/Crime Nexus

As we should know by now, the immigration issues is not a discrete policy area isolated from others. For many years, opponents of increased immigration on both ends of the political and ideological spectrum have tied it to concerns about unemployment and wage stagnation. In 2014, we saw R [...]

Donald Trump’s Mountainous History Of Disrespect For Native Americans

It was a show of respect to Native Americans when President Obama on Sunday restored the name of the nation’s tallest mountain, formerly called Mount McKinley, to Denali. So it makes a lot of sense that presidential candidate Donald Trump didn’t like it. On Tuesday, the Republican  [...]

De-Voucherizing Higher Ed

It should be reasonably obvious that for students and families struggling to afford a college education, public institutions of higher education will more often offer the best bet. But as we have seen conclusively in recent years, federal support for higher ed offered through students wit [...]

Donald Trump Is the Favorite to Win the Republican Primary

The hopeful case for Republicans concerned about Donald Trump’s persistent lead goes something like this: At this point in the last Republican primary, Rick Perry was pulling away from Go to Source : Donald Trump Is the Favorite to Win the Republican Primary

James O’Keefe Releases Video Attacking Clinton Campaign — For Letting A Canadian Buy A T-Shirt

WASHINGTON, D.C. — “No, this is not a joke,” conservative media provocateur James O’Keefe said in a news conference Tuesday. O’Keefe’s group, Project Veritas, had just released a video he claims shows Hillary Clinton’s marketing director accepting a $75 campaign contribution from a  [...]

Science Marches On: We Now Have a Yard Sale That Runs Backward In Time

A sentence to ponder: The world’s longest yard sale runs for nearly 700 miles along a mostly vertical line connecting Alabama and Michigan, from the first Thursday in August through the first Sunday. But what if the first Sunday comes before the first Thursday? Do they cancel the  [...]

More Republicans Believe Ted Cruz Was Born In USA Than Obama

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), was born in Calgary, Alberta in Canada in 1970, according to the birth certificate he released two years ago. But a Public Policy Polling poll released on Monday found that 40 percent of Republican voters falsely believe Cruz was born in the United States — com [...]

It’s September! Hooray! The kids are back in school and Donald Trump’s reign over the silly season will soon be coming to an en [...]

Obama Is a Climate Hypocrite. His Trip to Alaska Proves It.

This story was originally published by Slate and is reproduced here as part of the Climate Desk collaboration. On Monday morning President Obama headed to Alaska—the front lines of climate change—for a trip the White House is calling “a spotlight on what Alaskans in part [...]

Jeb Bush slams Donald Trump in Spanish over his ‘barbarities’

This story has been updated. MIAMI — Jeb Bush is “en el ataque.” That’s Spanish for “on the attack” — and the former Florida governor certainly is, as he confronted and mocked businessman Donald Trump in English and Spanish on Tuesday. Trump n [...]

The latest Hillary Clinton e-mails show she is VERY suspicious of the press

Hillary Clinton and her inner circle at the State Department viewed the media as a forever-dangerous entity never to be trusted and only begrudgingly given any credit at all, according to a review of more than 7,000 e-mails she sent during her time as Secretary of State that were rele [...]

Hillary Clinton is VERY suspicious of the press

Hillary Clinton and her inner circle at the State Department viewed the media as a forever-dangerous entity never to be trusted and only begrudgingly given any credit at all, according to a review of more than 7,000 e-mails she sent during her time as Secretary of State that were rele [...]

Amateur Hour Redux

Less that two weeks ago I noted in awe that according to the then-latest national poll of the GOP presidential contest, the three candidates with no prior public service (Trump, Carson and Fiorina) had a combined 42% of the vote. Yesterday a poll of Iowa from Monmouth showed these same  [...]

Jeb! video unloads on The Donald: he’s a ‘liberal’ from ‘New York’ (gasp)

Jeb!’s finally hitting back at Trump in a way that theoretically could be effective—if the GOP were a fact-based party. The new Jeb! video unleashes a string of liberal slurs, spoken by the The Donald himself against The Donald himself. Here’s the opener: “I lived in Ne [...]

Marco Rubio says [Democrat] weakened military to pre-[date] levels because [gigantic lie]

I bequeath to you the Eternal Republican Talking Point, my child. Use it well, or at least often. We’re doing this again, I see. We do it every single election, and now we’re doing it again because no matter how powerful our military is or how many nations we could obliterat [...]

1 in 3 federal government employees use personal e-mail for work, survey finds

Late Monday night, the State Department released 7,000 more pages of work-related e-mails that Hillary Rodham Clinton sent from a non-government account during her time as secretary. The ongoing Clinton e-mail controversy – that she used a private server for all her State Depart [...]

Full video confirms that Texas police shot a surrendered Gilbert Flores while he had his hands up

Gilbert Flores just a split second before being shot and killed by police Yesterday we received part of a video that seemed to confirm that a peaceful, surrendering, San Antonio, Texas, man was shot with his hands up. Because we only had part of the video, it was difficult to know for c [...]

Jeb Bush is unloading on Donald Trump. Good luck with that.

The battle between Donald Trump and Jeb Bush just got real. Bush has over the last 24 hours made a concerted effort to mix it up with the GOP frontrunner, going after Trump repeatedly and in no uncertain terms. It’s a striking turn for the normally low-key and cerebral (Trump would  [...]