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FiveThirtyEight » Politics

Former House speaker Newt Gingrich: Donald Trump could be GOP nominee

In a roundtable discussion with political reporters and analysts on ABC’s “This Week,” former House speaker Newt Gingrich said what others may be thinking. Gingrich told guest host Martha Raddatz that Donald Trump, a billionaire businessman, real estate mogul and nov [...]

Scott Walker: What about a wall on the Canadian border, too?

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) says the United States needs to secure all its borders — and that includes reviewing security on the far-less-controversial northern border it shares with Canada, the longest border in the world at 5,525 miles. Walker has long said that securing U.S. bo [...]

The 2016 presidential polling is deeply weird (but does that matter?)

Jeb Bush: Trailing nationally, but leading in … Michigan?! Perhaps predictably, most of the attention being lavished upon the nascent 2016 presidential election is centering on the increasingly entertaining primary contests. This is particularly true as it relates to polling. Nati [...]

Reclaiming Morality

I know you are busy. But I’d like to ask you to take a few minutes and watch Rev. William Barber talk about morality. I have often found it frustrating that the word “morals” has been hijacked in our culture to spur only thoughts about sexual morality. Obviously Rev. Ba [...]

So what does the commentariat think on the hair front? Here’s a smattering of comments from folks who like my new, shorter hair: DM: [...]

Tea party and Trump supporters can’t accept people like Jorge Ramos and Barack Obama as Americans

American. Let’s start with the obvious. Given that the candidate himself has characterized Mexican immigrants as criminals and rapists, we can’t be surprised that one of his partisans told Jorge Ramos, the most influential Latino journalist there is, to “get out of my  [...]

The Internet Is Making Us Sicker

The placebo effect, as we all know, is the mechanism by which we sometimes feel better even when we’re given meds that later turn out to be sugar pills. The mere expectation that we will get better somehow helps us actually get better. The most eye-popping example of the placebo eff [...]

The Roots of Political Correctness

It seems that one of the issues that unites almost all the Republican candidates who are running for president is disgust with the idea of political correctness. It has especially become the rallying cry for Trump and Carson. When I think of the term, I am immediately reminded of how Lee  [...]

Here are the greatest, classiest verses in the Trump Bible

A hashtag has taken over political Twitter of the last few days. It’s called #TrumpBible. The hashtag/meme was launched to poke fun at Trump’s failure to name his favorite Bible verse — even as he says it’s his favorite book — along with his penchant for hype [...]

This is not the age of information. This is not the age of information. Forget the news and the radio and the blurred screen. This is the  [...]

This Iowa poll shows just how amazing Donald Trump’s rise has been

Donald Trump leads the Republican 2016 field in a new Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics of Iowa voters. But that’s not the real story. The real story is contained deeper in the poll. In May, when the Register last polled, 27 percent of likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers viewed Tr [...]

Donald Trump is not a traditional Republican — including on some big issues

Donald Trump has rather effortlessly demonstrated that he is not a normal presidential candidate. And with his scatter-shot delineation of where he stands on various issues, he has made something else clear: He’s not a normal Republican. Given his politically diverse background, [...]

On Saturday the New York Times ran this headline: “Christie Proposes Tracking Immigrants Like FedEx Packages.” We are, of cours [...]

Remembering Thurgood Marshall and fighting to ensure the future of the Supreme Court

Thurgood Marshall, associate justice of the United States Supreme Court, serving from October 1967 until October 1991. Marshall was the court’s 96th justice and its first African-American justice. It was 48 years ago today that the U.S. Senate confirmed President Lyndon Baines Joh [...]

A Shamelessly Immodest Essay About Teaching

Go to Source : A Shamelessly Immodest Essay About Teaching

Beijing Bingo

Go to Source : Beijing Bingo

Abbreviated Pundit Round-up

Ruth Marcus makes the case for Joe. Could Joe Biden be the man for this season? … there is an argument that 2016 could be Biden’s year — a moment that will reward, even celebrate, his loose-lipped authenticity and his from-the-gut middle-class politics. In Iowa the other day, Donald [...]

Inside the Most Expensive Nuclear Bomb Ever Made

Engineers at the United States’ nuclear weapons lab in Albuquerque, New Mexico, have spent the past few years designing and testing the B61-12, a high-tech addition to our nation’s atomic arsenal. Unlike the free-fall gravity bombs it will replace, the B61-12 is a guided nucle [...]

Sunday Talk: Through the looking glass

In 1988, Jeb!’s daddy—not to be confused with his sugar daddies—famously declared “Read my lips: no new taxes.” That promise helped the elder Bush win the election, but it also played a role in his defeat four years later. Fast forward to 2015. Jeb!’s nem [...]

Open thread: A Republican’s guide, Thurgood Marshall and physics

What’s coming up on Sunday Kos .. A newly displaced centrist Republican’s guide to third parties, by Mark E Andersen Remembering Thurgood Marshall, and fighting to ensure the future of SCOTUS, by Denise Oliver Velez Straight outta physics, by DarkSyde The 2016 Presidential po [...]