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FiveThirtyEight » Politics

Abbreviated pundit roundup: Trump continues to dominate the GOP primary

There’s just no oxygen for other GOP candidates. Eugene Robinson analyzes the situation: The Republican establishment seems to be slowly going through Elisabeth Kubler-Ross’s five stages of grief, with many politicians and pundits unable to get past the first: denial. When it becam [...]

Donald Trump is headed to Nashville — a city that attempted its own Trumpian immigration laws

On Saturday, when Donald Trump lands at an airfield just a few miles from Nashville immigration lawyer Elliott Ozment’s office and heads toward a restaurant hot-spot not far from downtown, there’s a 50/50 chance that Trump’s route will take him past Ozment’s of [...]

Film Review: Steve Jobs, Man in the Machine

Steve Jobs: Man in the Machine MAGNOLIA PICTURES At an April showing of his Steve Jobs takedown, which already has generated plenty of heat in tech circles, director Alex Gibney admitted he’s basically wed to his iPhone. But boy, does his film avoid the worshipful tones of previous [...]

Liberals Are Wrong to Separate Race from Class

After shutting down a Bernie Sanders speech at a Seattle rally for Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, Black Lives Matter activist Marissa Johnson <a href=" [...]

Record numbers of veterans are getting jobs in the government — but a lot of them aren’t staying

The share of federal jobs going to veterans is at its highest level in five years, new data shows, with former service members comprising almost half of full-time hires in the last fiscal year. One in three people in government is now a veteran, proof that the White House’s six- [...]

The Anti-Birthright Citizenship Brigade

For the past several years, the issue of birthright citizenship has slowly worked its way into the Republican agenda. Bills to end birthright citizenship for undocumented immigrants have routinely cropped up in Congress. So-called “anchor babies” have become a political target [...]

How Top GOP Donors Got Jeb Bush to Facilitate a Hurricane Katrina Cruise-Ship Boondoggle

Trailing Donald Trump in the polls by a widening margin, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush is trying to use the 10th anniversary of Hurricane Katrina on Saturday to highlight his successes in crisis response. On Tuesday, his presidential campaign released a two-minute ad promoting Bush’s [...]

Black Lives Matter Began When New Orleans’ Levees Failed

This story was first published by Slate and is reproduced here as part of the Climate Desk collaboration. On the fifth anniversary of Hurricane Katrina, in 2010, New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu preached unity. “With the rising water, differences and divisions were washed away,R [...]

After Hurricane Katrina, Poor Black Women Were Largely Ignored, Study Says

Ten years after Hurricane Katrina displaced 40,000 people in New Orleans, opinions about the recovery can be traced along racial lines. A pair of new studies underscores that African American women, particularly those who lived in public housing, faced some of the biggest hurdles aft [...]

Why you shouldn’t retweet Sanders’s claim that Hitler ‘won an election’

“A guy named Adolf Hitler won an election in 1932. He won an election, and 50 million people died as a result of that election in World War II, including 6 million Jews. So what I learned as a little kid is that politics is, in fact, very important.” — Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), int [...]

The Washington Post informs me today that in a new study, only 39 out of 100 published psychology studies could be replicated: I wonder if [...]

Open thread for night owls: The Lower Ninth Ward of New Orleans, 10 years years after Katrina

Elements of a prefabricated house being put into place in the Lower Ninth Ward. Shelby Hartman at Vice writes The Lower Ninth Ward, Ten Years After Katrina: As the tenth anniversary of Hurricane Katrina approaches, news outlets from around the country are descending upon New Orleans to  [...]

This is the first hard evidence we have that Joe Biden is seriously thinking about a presidential run: On Wednesday he made his first publ [...]

No, Bernie Sanders still isn’t going to run as an independent

Bernie Sanders keeps getting asked, and keeps saying no. No, he will not run as an independent candidate for president. “I made the promise that I would not, and I will keep that promise,” Sanders said in his most widely-shared version of the answer. “The reason for that is I do not w [...]

Recalling Katrina, Obama tells New Orleans: 'You inspire me'

President Obama visited New Orleans on Thursday, hailing the city as a shining example of resilience a decade after the devastation of Hurricane Katrina. Obama praised the Big Easy as a city that is “slowly, unmistakably, together, moving… Go to Source : Recalling Katrina, Obama tel [...]

The only thing worse for the GOP than nominating Trump… not nominating Trump

We found this little nugget buried in a PPP survey released Wednesday of the New Hampshire Senate contest between Republican Kelly Ayotte and Democrat Maggie Hassan. New Hampshire provides more evidence of what a disaster not nominating Trump could potentially be for the GOP. Runnin [...]

Federal employees and contractors face danger, even death, just doing their jobs

Serving Uncle Sam can be dangerous – even deadly. Four federal employees have died in the line of duty so far in fiscal 2015, following two in fiscal 2014, according to the Office of Personnel Management (OPM). That doesn’t include contractors working for the federal government, like  [...]

Trump: I will be ‘far better’ for women’s health than Hillary Clinton

GREENVILLE, S.C.—Donald Trump pledged Thursday that supporting women’s health will be “a very major thing” in his presidential campaign. “I will take care of women’s health and women’s health issues better than anybody and far better than Hillary Clinton, who doesn’t have a clue,” he  [...]

FactChecking Trump’s Press Conference

Donald Trump’s recent press conference garnered a lot of media attention for his put downs of two high-profile journalists, but he didn’t treat the facts much better: Trump claimed “59 percent of our bridges are in trouble.” That’s way off. The Federal Highw [...]

The Griot of New Orleans

Terence Blanchard has just finished telling me about the fried oyster that made him cry when we turn onto Frenchmen Street in The Marigny, right next to the French Quarter. The street is a two-block strip of bars, live Go to Source : The Griot of New Orleans