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FiveThirtyEight » Politics

This is the first hard evidence we have that Joe Biden is seriously thinking about a presidential run: On Wednesday he made his first publ [...]

No, Bernie Sanders still isn’t going to run as an independent

Bernie Sanders keeps getting asked, and keeps saying no. No, he will not run as an independent candidate for president. “I made the promise that I would not, and I will keep that promise,” Sanders said in his most widely-shared version of the answer. “The reason for that is I do not w [...]

The only thing worse for the GOP than nominating Trump… not nominating Trump

We found this little nugget buried in a PPP survey released Wednesday of the New Hampshire Senate contest between Republican Kelly Ayotte and Democrat Maggie Hassan. New Hampshire provides more evidence of what a disaster not nominating Trump could potentially be for the GOP. Runnin [...]

Federal employees and contractors face danger, even death, just doing their jobs

Serving Uncle Sam can be dangerous – even deadly. Four federal employees have died in the line of duty so far in fiscal 2015, following two in fiscal 2014, according to the Office of Personnel Management (OPM). That doesn’t include contractors working for the federal government, like  [...]

Trump: I will be ‘far better’ for women’s health than Hillary Clinton

GREENVILLE, S.C.—Donald Trump pledged Thursday that supporting women’s health will be “a very major thing” in his presidential campaign. “I will take care of women’s health and women’s health issues better than anybody and far better than Hillary Clinton, who doesn’t have a clue,” he  [...]

FactChecking Trump’s Press Conference

Donald Trump’s recent press conference garnered a lot of media attention for his put downs of two high-profile journalists, but he didn’t treat the facts much better: Trump claimed “59 percent of our bridges are in trouble.” That’s way off. The Federal Highw [...]

The Griot of New Orleans

Terence Blanchard has just finished telling me about the fried oyster that made him cry when we turn onto Frenchmen Street in The Marigny, right next to the French Quarter. The street is a two-block strip of bars, live Go to Source : The Griot of New Orleans

A Majority of Gun Victims Know Their Assailant

The tragic deaths of WDBJ journalists Alison Parker and Adam Ward on Wednesday morning were unusual in only one respect: that the fatal shooting was broadcast on live TV and videotaped by the gunman.In every other way, the Virginia shooting was one of America’s all-too-familiar acts [...]

Undercover Video Exposes the Dark Side of Chicken McNuggets

Back in 2013, a proposed law that would have criminalized the act of secretly videotaping abuses on livestock farms—known by critics as an “ag gag” bill—failed in Tennessee. A least one of the state’s chicken operations has reason to lament that defeat. [...]

How the Mighty Have Fallen

Turns out Bill Kristol isn’t the only major conservative magazine editor who’s concluded the gigantic GOP presidential field has turned out to be lacking. Here’s National Review‘s Rich Lowry at Politico Magazine with a piece entitled: “The GOP Field That Fail [...]

Ten years after Katrina, black residents see significantly less improvement than whites

Ten years ago, Hurricane Katrina hit New Orleans, flooding streets and houses, destroying lives, and killing almost 2,000 people. The aftermath exposed the massive racial inequality that existed in New Orleans—black communities were hit the hardest by the storm and waited in vain for the [...]

As a blogger, it’s hard not to love Donald Trump. Here’s the latest, in an interview with Mark Halperin and John Heilemann: I& [...]

Eric Cantor endorsing Jeb Bush

Former House majority leader Eric Cantor plans to endorse the presidential campaign of Jeb Bush on Thursday evening, according to campaign aides. Cantor, who stunned the nation with his historic 2014 GOP primary loss, becomes the most high-profile Virginia Republican to back Bush to d [...]

The Mystery of Patrick Modiano

If repetition is a common trait among prolific novelists, it is a vice that, as the historian Michael Wood has written, applies to Patrick Modiano “more than most.” The criticism one often hears of the French novelist— Go to Source : The Mystery of Patrick Modiano

How Hedge Funds Are Exploiting Baltimore’s Poorest Residents

The death of Freddie Gray in police custody in Baltimore and the ensuing protests brought the nation’s attention to the economic devastation that continues to grip the city. Now, new data shows powerful hedge funds are profiting off of struggling families in Baltimore by buying up d [...]

Throwback Thursday: Jorge Ramos

Jorge Ramos is in the news lately for being thrown out of the room by Donald Trump and berated by Trump supporters — but Monthly readers who have been with us for at least a few years will know that this is far from the first time he’s appeared in our coverage. This week’ [...]

Monsanto Halts Its Bid to Buy Rival Syngenta—For Now

After four months of hot pursuit, genetically modified seed/pesticide giant Monsanto formally ended its bid to buy rival Syngenta Wednesday—at least for now. Earlier in the week, Monsanto had sweetened its offer for the Swiss agrochemical behemoth—most famous for its controver [...]

Filibuster For Your Country

As regular readers know, I’m a pretty hard-core opponent of the Senate filibuster. Thus I am naturally inclined to think that in circumstances where a Democratic filibuster just becomes a substitute for an Obama veto, why not skip the intermediate blocking point and let obnoxious bi [...]

The mystery hidden in Hillary Clinton’s sinking trustworthiness

Let’s stipulate that Hillary Clinton’s lead over her competitors is not what it once was, no matter how much some might try to wish that away. There are almost certainly a lot of reasons that this is the case, including that people have been getting to know Bernie Sanders, [...]

Donald Trump likes to talk about the ‘silent majority.’ For many, that has racial overtones.

In a press conference after a rally in South Carolina on Thursday, Donald Trump insisted that there is a “silent majority [who] wants this country to have victories again.” It’s not the first time Trump has used that phrase — “silent majority.” Befo [...]