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FiveThirtyEight » Politics

The Menace From Up North

Well, it had to happen eventually: after years of competing for the most frantic, emphatic, and redundant support for building a wall along our border with Mexico, a Republican presidential candidate has broken the mold by calling for security measure along our much longer border with Can [...]

What Bernie Sanders Has Already Won

Go to Source : What Bernie Sanders Has Already Won

The Things Trump Gets Right

Go to Source : The Things Trump Gets Right

Iowa voters like Hillary Clinton. But they don’t love her. That’s the problem. Again.

It’s easy to look at Hillary Clinton’s slide in the new Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics poll — she’s down twenty points in the Democratic primary matchup — and assume that Iowa voters just don’t like her very much. But, that’s wrong. Th [...]

Here’s How We Can Reverse Wage Stagnation

As Labor Day approaches, we are likely to hear from a growing chorus of political, religious, academic, labor and business leaders who agree “America needs a raise” to reverse <a href="http://www.npr.org/sectio Go to Source : Here’s How We Can Reverse Wage Stagnation

Indentured Regression: Marco Rubio Thinks College Students Should Be Sharecroppers

Go to Source : Indentured Regression: Marco Rubio Thinks College Students Should Be Sharecroppers

Waking Up With the Republican Establishment Nightmare

The appearance of an Ann Selzer Iowa Poll (cosponsored by the Des Moines Register and Bloomberg Politics) over the weekend must have felt for Establishment Republicans like the cliched moment in cheesy fiction where one wakes up from a nightmare only to realize it’s real. It’ [...]

Fascism From West Point

Go to Source : Fascism From West Point

Christian Reconstruction: Evangelical Christianity’s Outrageous and Influential Far-Right Fringe

Go to Source : Christian Reconstruction: Evangelical Christianity’s Outrageous and Influential Far-Right Fringe

US and Saudi Arabia War Crimes Keep Killing Yemenis

Go to Source : US and Saudi Arabia War Crimes Keep Killing Yemenis

Cartoon: The routine

If you missed the Kickstarter for my hardcover, two-volume compilation, 25 Year of Tomorrow, good news—you can still pre-order a set! Go to Source : Cartoon: The routine

4 numbers that explain this whole Donald Trump thing

This Donald Trump thing is now moving into its third month — with more than half that time featuring Trump as the GOP front-runner. And yes, we still struggle to understand precisely how this has happened. Or, perhaps more accurately: We struggle to understand whether it has sta [...]

Environmental/Ethical/Spiritual Costs Of Northern California’s Wine Industry

Go to Source : Environmental/Ethical/Spiritual Costs Of Northern California’s Wine Industry

U.S. Publicly Splits v. EU on Ukraine War

Go to Source : U.S. Publicly Splits v. EU on Ukraine War

Cartoon for August 31, 2015: Big Chill

Go to Source : Cartoon for August 31, 2015: Big Chill

Medical errors are up at VA hospitals, but they’re actually doing less to figure out why

Hospitals across the country are under growing pressure to reduce preventable medical mistakes, the errors that can cause real harm and even death to patients. But the Department of Veterans Affairs, which runs a massive system of hospitals and clinics that cared for 5.8 million veter [...]

President Obama will talk the climate talk this week in Alaska, but we need more of the climate walk

Losing one battle won’t make these protesters go away. Today, President Obama will begin his three-day trip to Alaska. In an Aug. 13  video released by the White House, the trip was billed as a climate-change visit. It will include a trek across the ice of the rapidly retreat [...]

‘Like Trump. If I could be like Trump. (I wanna be I wanna be) Like Trump’

You all can’t be like Trump. Flew in late last week from my European vacation to see that Donald Trump was still riding high … nay, riding higher than when I left. Good for the chump, I guess. We really do have a GOP base that won’t tolerate dog whistles anymore, so th [...]

Morning Digest: Lacy Clay could face a tough primary over his role in the Ferguson protests

Missouri Democratic Rep. Lacy Clay Leading Off: • MO-01: Rep. Lacy Clay has never had much of a problem securing renomination in his safely blue St. Louis-area seat, with him easily defeating Russ Carnahan after the two congressmen were drawn into the same district in 2012. But in mid-A [...]

John Oliver remakes American history in his book of lies [Video]

“There is absolutely nothing more fun than lying confidently about human history,” says John Oliver. So the host of HBO’s “Last Week Tonight” decided to produce a short Web exclusive about all the things that didn’t happen in history he wish were true.  [...]