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FiveThirtyEight » Politics

Young Clintonistas Fired Up, Ready To Go

No matter how much we read, think and talk to other people, it’s impossible entirely to remove the impact of personal (which mean generational) experience in perceiving events as they happen and people as we encounter them. That’s why I found Suzy Khimm’s TNR piece on a  [...]

As California endures its fourth year of grueling drought, officials are getting more serious about mandatory water cuts. Gov. Jerry B [...]

Fast Track Really Comes Down to the Filibuster

This thought has been nagging the back of my mind for a while, so I’m glad Greg Sargent has clarified it for me. In a detailed discussion of what will happen to TPP (and future trade agreements) if Trade Promotion Authority (a.k.a. “fast-track”) is passed, Greg reaches  [...]

Clinton says she’s not running for a ‘third term’ of her husband or Obama

EXETER, N.H. — Hillary Rodham Clinton on Friday sought to distance herself somewhat from both her husband, a previous president, and Barack Obama, the current White House occupant who defeated her in 2008. “I’m not running for my husband’s third term and I’m  [...]

Pew poll: 75 percent of Republicans want their party to challenge Obama ‘more often’

Not satisfied. According to a new Pew poll, the Republican base isn’t too happy with their leaders. Today, just 41% of Republicans approve of the job their party’s leaders in Congress are doing. […] And just 37% of Republicans say their party’s leaders are keeping their camp [...]

The Republican National Committee thinks it has the smoking gun that proves Hillary Clinton used “multiple secret email addresses” as secre [...]

Another Plan B for ACA If SCOTUS Strikes

Having considered some pretty bad scenarios yesterday for what would happen politically if the Supreme Court strikes down Obamacare subsidies for states that haven’t set up their own insurance purchasing exchanges, there was an interesting straw in the wind about possible developmen [...]

Hillary Clinton: ‘No role whatsoever for American soldiers on the ground’ in Iraq

  HAMPTON, N.H. — Hillary Rodham Clinton said Friday that she sees “no role whatsoever for American soldiers on the ground to go back” to Iraq as the Islamic State terrorist group makes gains. The remarks by Clinton — who has disavowed her own 2003 vote for th [...]

These Are the Jobs Robots Will Take From Humans, According To Researchers With Jobs…For Now

The coming robot invasion is suddenly a hot topic again. This week, Fresh Air interviewed Martin Ford, whose book Rise of the Robots: Technology and the Threat of a Jobless Future was just reviewed in the New York Times by Barbara Ehrenreich. The Harvard Business Review published a long a [...]

Volunteers fill buckets with oil near Refugio State Beach. Michael A. Mariant/AP On Tuesday, an oil pipeline burst near Refugio State Bea [...]

The Real Democratic Primary: Hillary Versus the Media

Beth Lilly, 29, remembers the first time she felt like the media was doing Hillary Clinton wrong: It was in 1992, when she was just about six years old, and remembers that people weren’t happy about Hillary’s chocolate-chip cookie recipe.The incident was actually one of the most <a hre [...]

Jeb Bush Needs More Evidence for Climate Change Action Than He Does to Start a War

Former Florida governor and likely presidential candidate Jeb Bush had a lot to say about climate change this week, putting to rest prior speculation that he might take a more reaso Go to Source : Jeb Bush Needs More Evidence for Climate Change Action Than He Does to Start a War

Rick Santorum’s got a point: Nothing helps poll numbers like winning

When Fox News announced on Wednesday that it would limit participation in the first debate of the Republican calendar to the top 10 candidates in national polling, it was instantaneously obvious that there would be friction. And sure enough, within 24 hours Rick Santorum (who would not ma [...]

Midday open thread: Huckabee backs Ten Commandments BS; DNI keeps bin Laden porn to itself

Today’s comic by Mark Fiore is Jeb Bush and Brotherly Love: What’s coming up on Sunday Kos … Do not call me girl: Women in the workforce, by Susan Grigsby Memorial Day and Flanders Fields, by Mark E Andersen How did you begin to unlearn racism, by Denise Oliver Vele [...]

Should We Know Where Pols Send Their Kids to School?

At The Grade today, Alexander Russo discusses an educational media question that rarely gets examined: do journalists and/or the public have any particular reason to know where politicians send their kids to school? There’s no absolute consensus whether a politician’s choice [...]

Politico takes a whack at Warren in a lengthy, trade-related hit piece

Politico’s nothingburger story on Warren’s ISDS is an undisguised hit piece. Politico seems to be confused about the meaning of hypocrisy. Thursday, it offered up a 31-paragraph hit piece on Sen. Elizabeth Warren founded on her participation in a trade arbitration process 15 [...]

Where Washington’s Jewish elite worship

President Ulysses S. Grant laid its cornerstone back in 1876. And it’s been nothing but spotlight from there for Washington’s most prestigious synagogue. President Obama made history Friday by speaking at Adas Israel, one of the oldest congregations in the city. “The people of [...]

Quiz: Which Bush said it?

Since George H.W. Bush became a congressman in 1967, we’ve had no shortages of Bushes in national politics, and they’ve all said things about Iraq, taxes, social issues, and each other. Can you tell one Bush quote from another? Go to Source : Quiz: Which Bush said it?

Warren Buffett’s Good Idea on the Earned Income Tax Credit Is Bad for Progress

In the Wall Street Journal on Friday, famed investor Warren Buffett made an argument you often hear against raising the minimum wage: increase the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), instead.“I may wish Go to Source : Warren Buffett’s Good Idea on the Earned Income Tax Credit Is Bad for Progress

O’Malley has trips planned to Iowa and N.H. after ‘special announcement’

Former Maryland governor Martin O’Malley has back-to-back trips planned to Iowa and New Hampshire after his presidential announcement at the end of this month, according to activists in those early nominating states. The Democrat has heavily teased a “special announcement” the morning of  [...]