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FiveThirtyEight » Politics

Another Plan B for ACA If SCOTUS Strikes

Having considered some pretty bad scenarios yesterday for what would happen politically if the Supreme Court strikes down Obamacare subsidies for states that haven’t set up their own insurance purchasing exchanges, there was an interesting straw in the wind about possible developmen [...]

These Are the Jobs Robots Will Take From Humans, According To Researchers With Jobs…For Now

The coming robot invasion is suddenly a hot topic again. This week, Fresh Air interviewed Martin Ford, whose book Rise of the Robots: Technology and the Threat of a Jobless Future was just reviewed in the New York Times by Barbara Ehrenreich. The Harvard Business Review published a long a [...]

Volunteers fill buckets with oil near Refugio State Beach. Michael A. Mariant/AP On Tuesday, an oil pipeline burst near Refugio State Bea [...]

The Real Democratic Primary: Hillary Versus the Media

Beth Lilly, 29, remembers the first time she felt like the media was doing Hillary Clinton wrong: It was in 1992, when she was just about six years old, and remembers that people weren’t happy about Hillary’s chocolate-chip cookie recipe.The incident was actually one of the most <a hre [...]

Jeb Bush Needs More Evidence for Climate Change Action Than He Does to Start a War

Former Florida governor and likely presidential candidate Jeb Bush had a lot to say about climate change this week, putting to rest prior speculation that he might take a more reaso Go to Source : Jeb Bush Needs More Evidence for Climate Change Action Than He Does to Start a War

Rick Santorum’s got a point: Nothing helps poll numbers like winning

When Fox News announced on Wednesday that it would limit participation in the first debate of the Republican calendar to the top 10 candidates in national polling, it was instantaneously obvious that there would be friction. And sure enough, within 24 hours Rick Santorum (who would not ma [...]

Midday open thread: Huckabee backs Ten Commandments BS; DNI keeps bin Laden porn to itself

Today’s comic by Mark Fiore is Jeb Bush and Brotherly Love: What’s coming up on Sunday Kos … Do not call me girl: Women in the workforce, by Susan Grigsby Memorial Day and Flanders Fields, by Mark E Andersen How did you begin to unlearn racism, by Denise Oliver Vele [...]

Should We Know Where Pols Send Their Kids to School?

At The Grade today, Alexander Russo discusses an educational media question that rarely gets examined: do journalists and/or the public have any particular reason to know where politicians send their kids to school? There’s no absolute consensus whether a politician’s choice [...]

Politico takes a whack at Warren in a lengthy, trade-related hit piece

Politico’s nothingburger story on Warren’s ISDS is an undisguised hit piece. Politico seems to be confused about the meaning of hypocrisy. Thursday, it offered up a 31-paragraph hit piece on Sen. Elizabeth Warren founded on her participation in a trade arbitration process 15 [...]

Where Washington’s Jewish elite worship

President Ulysses S. Grant laid its cornerstone back in 1876. And it’s been nothing but spotlight from there for Washington’s most prestigious synagogue. President Obama made history Friday by speaking at Adas Israel, one of the oldest congregations in the city. “The people of [...]

Quiz: Which Bush said it?

Since George H.W. Bush became a congressman in 1967, we’ve had no shortages of Bushes in national politics, and they’ve all said things about Iraq, taxes, social issues, and each other. Can you tell one Bush quote from another? Go to Source : Quiz: Which Bush said it?

Warren Buffett’s Good Idea on the Earned Income Tax Credit Is Bad for Progress

In the Wall Street Journal on Friday, famed investor Warren Buffett made an argument you often hear against raising the minimum wage: increase the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), instead.“I may wish Go to Source : Warren Buffett’s Good Idea on the Earned Income Tax Credit Is Bad for Progress

O’Malley has trips planned to Iowa and N.H. after ‘special announcement’

Former Maryland governor Martin O’Malley has back-to-back trips planned to Iowa and New Hampshire after his presidential announcement at the end of this month, according to activists in those early nominating states. The Democrat has heavily teased a “special announcement” the morning of  [...]

Yup, Clinton can tell the Beltway media to go to hell

Heavens! Is that Hillary with some “everyday Americans”? BLASPHEMY! The same day I lauded Hillary Clinton for (mostly) ignoring the Beltway Media, we get this tweet, from the supposedly “liberal” New York Times: In Iowa, Queen Hillary and the Everyday Americans o [...]

Listen: A Conversation on Community Policing

Over the past few months, hundreds of thousands of Americans have signed petitions on our We the People petitions platform related to community policing, in the wake of the police-involved deaths of Michael Brown, Eric Garner, Freddie Gray, and others. This week, we invited these petition [...]

The four levels of access to Hillary Clinton

A snippet of a piece in Politico’s story about Hillary Rodham Clinton’s fundraising efforts stuck out to us. How much the candidate has raised isn’t yet clear, but the site’s Gabriel Debenedetti and Annie Karni suggest that the amount of time the fundraising requir [...]

Best state in America: Hawaii, for making the ultimate sacrifice

(Editor’s Note: Best State is a recurring weekly feature. ) There is no greater contribution a state can give the nation than the lives of its own. And no state has sent a larger share of its residents to die in conflict since the end of World War II than Hawaii. In honor of Memoria [...]

What did, or didn’t, the Duggar family learn from son Josh’s sexual offenses?

Josh Duggar speaks at the Family Leadership Summit By now, the story is everywhere. Reality TV son Josh Duggar has had to step down as executive director of Family Research Council Action and apologize for having molested several underage girls, including his own sisters, when he himsel [...]

No More Social Conservative Temptation for Democrats

So the headline from Gallup is pretty striking: “On Social Ideology, the Left Catches Up to the Right.” Gallup first asked Americans to describe their views on social issues in 1999, and has repeated the question at least annually since 2001. The broad trend has been toward  [...]

Rick Santorum blasts Fox News for limiting GOP debate to top ten candidates

The announcement that Fox News will be limiting the first Republican primary debates to the ten candidates with the highest polling average at the time is not sitting well with candidates who are pretty sure they won’t be making even that generous cut. Likely presidential hopeful R [...]