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FiveThirtyEight » Politics

Why last week wasn’t really Obama’s best — or even close

An increasingly common refrain following President Obama’s successes in the Supreme Court and at the Capitol last week was that it was the best week of his presidency. Our own Chris Cillizza made that case last Friday — practically before the ink was even dry on the court̵ [...]

A Bridge to Nowhere

Chris Christie entered the GOP 2016 presidential demolition derby today, and we should all be glad. Because if there’s one thing the country needs, it’s another tough-talking, empty-suit Republican trying to use style to overcome a near-total lack of substance. Actually, Chri [...]

Obamacare Subsidies More Popular Than Same-Sex Marriage?

The first national poll out there measuring reactions to last week’s two big SCOTUS landmark cases is out, from CNN/ORC. Unsurprisingly, it showed a majority of Americans agreeing with Oberkefell v. Hodges, though the percentage was higher than one might have guessed, at 59%. But  [...]

Hours from deadline, GOP faces new pressure on Ex-Im Bank

At midnight Tuesday, the Export-Import Bank of the United States will lose its federal charter for the first time in 80 years, and hours before the deadline, American exporters and Democrats heightened pressure on Republican leaders in Congress to limit the damage by scheduling a quick re [...]

GOP 2016 Candidate Courting Black Voters Meets With Guy Who Says Blacks Were Better Off as Slaves

Rand Paul is notable among the nearly 20 GOP presidential candidates for his stated desire to reach out to African American voters, but Paul might have stumbled on that front yesterday when he met with anti-government activist and rancher Cliven Bundy, a libertarian hero who mounted a hea [...]

KKK to hold pro-Confederate flag rally at South Carolina’s statehouse

Because heritage n’ stuff Sure, why not. The Ku Klux Klan plans to hold a rally at the South Carolina Statehouse next month to protest renewed efforts to remove the Confederate flag from the Statehouse grounds. The Loyal White Knights out of Pelham, N.C. requested the rally from 3 [...]

These Girl Scouts Lost $100,000 Because Some Jerk Hates Trans People

Earlier this year, the Girl Scouts offices in Queen Anne, Washington, erupted into cheers after a donor’s generous contribution of $100,000—a full quarter of their annual fundraising goal, and enough money to send 500 girls to camp. But then things took a bitter turn. Just as [...]

Midday open thread: Got special plans for the Leap Second? Climate change will worsen refugee crisis

Today’s comic by Jen Sorensen is The right’s SCOTUS outrage: The Confederate battle flag no longer flies over Fort Sumter: The Confederate flag no longer flies over Fort Sumter – one of the few places it seems like that flag might belong. Then again, it is customary f [...]

Progressive Caucus Applauds President’s New Overtime Rule

WASHINGTON—Congressional Progressive Caucus (CPC) Co-Chairs Reps. Raúl M. Grijalva (D-AZ)… Go to Source : Progressive Caucus Applauds President’s New Overtime Rule

Here’s how much swagger Chris Christie had when New Jersey liked him

The story of Chris Christie’s governorship is a story often told through his New Jersey approval rating. He was riding high in 2012. After opting not to launch a late bid for the presidency (despite much urging), he strode confidently on to the Republican National Convention stage ( [...]

Are Bush/Rubio Business Records a Problem For Republicans?

So it seems the Washington Post is conducting a pretty serious examination of the personal business and financial records of leading GOP presidential candidates. Over the weekend Robert O’Harrow, Jr. and Tom Hamburger shone a spotlight on Jeb Bush’s history of being a politica [...]

The NSA Just Got Six More Months of Unlimited Snooping in Your Phone Data

Almost as soon as Congress passed the USA Freedom Act earlier this month, which ended the National Security Agency’s mass collection of phone records under the Patriot Act, the government moved to keep that program around for as long as it could. Administration lawyers went before t [...]

NSA bulk collection of phone records to continue during ‘transition’ period

We wouldn’t want to be too hasty here: A federal court has revived the National Security Agency’s bulk collection of Americans’ phone records, a program that lapsed earlier this month when sections of the Patriot Act briefly expired. The Foreign Intelligence Surveillanc [...]

The Supreme Court Isn’t Afraid to Mess With Texas

In the span of a few days, Texans’ worst fears of federal overreach came true. No other state in the nation felt as much of an impact from Supreme Court decisions this season.The most far-reaching decision of the term—SCOTUS’ ruling that same-sex marriage is protected by the 14th Amendmen [...]

Chris Christie’s top 4 confrontations (Video)

Chis Christie ain’t afraid of nobody. Or at least, that’s what a reasonable person could surmise from the string of straight-up confrontations Christie has had with folks around New Jersey. We won’t even get into that run in on the Jersey Shore or the many ways he’ [...]

Today, Harold Pollack wins the award for….um, something. Best geek-obsessive amateur polling and chartmaking of 2015? Whatever, it [...]

Your online guide to Chris Christie

Part 17 in a series: Your online guide to the presidential candidates. Each time someone decides to run, we’ll do something similar, helping you navigate the online world around each candidate. (Part 1: Ted Cruz. Part 2: Rand Paul. Part 3: Hillary Clinton. Part 4: Marco Rubio. Part  [...]

For Obama, rainbow White House was ‘a moment worth savoring’

For Obama. seeing the White House illuminated in rainbow colors Friday night “was a moment worth savoring.” Speaking at a joint news conference Tuesday with Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff, Obama made a point of saying just before leaving that one of the best aspects of las [...]

Amid heavy pushback from anti-vaccine groups, California Governor Jerry Brown signed legislation today officially putting an end to the per [...]

Who Owns Most of the Guns? "The Base!"

It’s a research finding that is startling but not really surprising (per a report from NBC’s Maggie Fox): A new study aimed at figuring out who owns gun in the United States and why suggests that about a third of Americans have at least one. Most are white males over the age o [...]